The Bayesian Conspiracy

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We discuss Sasha Chapin’s “Your Intelligent, Conscientious In-group Has Bad Social Norms Too”

Main Topic begins at 45:46

Other items mentioned:

The Simple Truth – Eliezer’s short story about The Sheep Counter

Keep Your Identity Small – by Paul Graham, not Hanson!

Otters vs Possums – by Aella

Shit Rationalists Say

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We discuss the book The Procrastination Equation as summarized by Luke in How to Beat Procrastination

The audio is rough at first, we fixed it after 8 minutes.

Other items discussed include:

Bezos in a Mecha

The Goth Chicken

Whether the King’s English was good enough for Jesus?

Hugh Jackman for Men vs Hugh Jackman for Women

Eneasz’s next story is coming out in March

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We speak with Jason Crawford (twitter), from The Roots of Progress. Interview begins at 44:25.

Posts discussed include:

Iron: From mythical to mundane

The various Why Did It Take So Long For (X), and specifically Cotton Gin, Bicycle, and Threshing Machine

Does invention come from deprivation or plenty?

Progress studies as a moral imperative and a civic duty

Support Roots of Progress here

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Matt Freeman returns to talk about Decision Theory, and the discusion ranges far afield.

Matt is from The Guild of the Rose, which we had a recent episode about. You can see his Decision Theory Course videos here.

Scott Alexander on All Debates Are Bravery Debates

Our previous Newcomb episode

Our previous Torture vs Dust Specks episode

The Kindness to Kin story

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How Newcomb’s problem applies to real-life. We discuss Newcomblike problems are the norm (LW crosspost).

Also mentioned:

Replacing Guilt Audiobook!

Our episode on Replacing Guilt

Our episode on Talking To Strangers part 1, and part 2

Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers

Evolutionary Psychology

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism

Thou Art Godshatter

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We settle the ultimate question once and for all.

also discussed:

Julia Galef’s quick video on Bayesian Thinking

Bulletproofing deters warlords

Steven’s friend’s GoFundMe

Our first and second and third episodes on cryonics. The interview with Rudi Hoffman is the third one, and he can help get you signed up at  rudihoffman.com.

Also the Cryonics Institute FAQ

Fake Morality

Fake Optimization Criteria

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers

Evolutionary Psychology