The Bayesian Conspiracy

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The Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all.

LINKS
Based Camp
Three World’s Collide, novella by Eliezer Yudkowsky
YIMBYism in California is doing very well!
AskWho Casts AI audio of the reddit post re an accidental student protest
Luck Is Other People’s Work by Eneasz

0:00:17 – Malcolm & Simone on Death + More
1:01:03 – Feedback
1:06:20 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:07:44 – Less Wrong Posts
1:42:12 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

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Our species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman 🙂

LINKS
Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability
Anthropic is hiring
Episode 93 of The Mind Killer
Talkin’ Fallout
VibeCamp

0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher
0:21:06 – Aligned By Default
0:50:56 – Highlights from Anthropic’s Latest Interpretability Paper
1:26:47 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:29:40 – Going to VibeCamp
1:37:05 – Feedback
1:43:58 – Less Wrong Posts
1:57:30 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

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A bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if you have anything you want to add to our discussions. Chat with us and a ton of awesome people on our Discord server, comment on the episode here, email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com, or use our now-mostly-inactive subreddit!

LINKS
Claude 3
Tumblr post from one participant of Aella’s birthday party
Twitter thread from the badass virgin attendee we mentioned

0:00:17 – Feedback
0:56:24 – Guild of the Rose Update
0:58:42 – Less Wrong Posts
1:39:29 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

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Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it.

Get all the details you could want plus tickets at Less.Online!

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“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this.

LINKS
The Twitter Essay we’re discussing
Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter
Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack
Trace’s piece on the FAA scandal/conspiracy
Eneasz’s post on repenting for new atheism
Eliezer on Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult
TBC episode 7(!) with a negative utilitarian (Kill All Humans)
Yassine’s thread on religious tolerance of wokism
Robin Williams escaped Lewy Body Dementia
Richard Dawkins’s The Greatest Show On Earth
Scott Alexander’s Fascination Lottery
Worth The Candle by Alexander Wales
Eneasz on The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas

0:00:17 – The New Vital Religion
1:22:31 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:23:42 – Less Wrong Posts
1:43:36 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

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We speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done?

LINKS
Based Camp YouTube  and Podcast
Pronatalist.org
The mentioned where to live document
Project Eureka (the Collins’s town to move to project)
The Pragmatist’s Guide to Crafting Religion
TBC – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder
TBC – CyberChristianity
Scott Alexander – The Toxoplasma Of Rage
Unweaving The Rainbow
Bonus Chat with Aella at Patreon, and at SubStack

0:00:17 – Simone & Malcolm
1:18:54 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:20:17 – Less Wrong Posts
1:40:10 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.